Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 18.187843 20.707572 23.456506 26.679306 30.355867 34.421469 39.261365
2024-10-27 14.530498 17.784554 21.601691 26.414323 32.327701 39.366441 48.396644
2024-11-03 12.339650 16.123991 20.864458 27.249442 35.643884 46.331057 61.015719
2024-11-10 10.716989 14.890172 20.450350 28.420691 39.591189 54.748330 76.978900
2024-11-17 9.109521 13.410425 19.484119 28.719231 42.471541 62.297507 93.243252
2024-11-24 7.490256 11.643467 17.839066 27.799169 43.507848 67.494712 107.221387
2024-12-01 6.193921 10.137500 16.334058 26.837327 44.334068 72.558768 122.033731
2024-12-08 5.305320 9.120856 15.421260 26.656182 46.380758 79.924329 142.031855
2024-12-15 4.652994 8.384005 14.844113 26.937615 49.267540 89.220492 167.208363
2024-12-22 4.060716 7.650346 14.152177 26.900615 51.600169 97.992057 193.253435
2024-12-29 3.694031 7.265440 14.022097 27.877688 56.004988 111.388079 230.865306
2025-01-05 3.291526 6.742993 13.547831 28.109538 59.013101 122.663238 266.607647
2025-01-12 2.832865 6.043909 12.640812 27.371889 60.057371 130.486401 297.500811
2025-01-19 2.485971 5.516261 11.994925 27.072368 62.004615 140.656232 336.008414
2025-01-26 2.277921 5.253459 11.869321 27.906083 66.681094 157.861701 394.968252
2025-02-02 2.117273 5.069518 11.888599 29.087286 72.440897 178.812438 468.147058
2025-02-09 1.917141 4.757074 11.559243 29.377722 76.118679 195.561938 534.782353
2025-02-16 1.673111 4.293611 10.788958 28.424315 76.462993 204.050264 581.574662
2025-02-23 1.461725 3.874694 10.056463 27.431288 76.518484 211.853124 628.568183
2025-03-02 1.315948 3.601256 9.649439 27.238835 78.754879 226.131362 698.189118
2025-03-09 1.207681 3.409791 9.426524 27.520733 82.426175 245.318903 787.792981
2025-03-16 1.099192 3.198068 9.111352 27.478267 85.149828 262.372898 875.252354
2025-03-23 1.038345 3.112908 9.139471 28.472939 91.294452 291.273138 1009.556940